Fed Likely to Hold Off on Rate Cuts

When Federal Reserve policymakers meet on Tuesday, economists predict that interest rates will be left alone, according to a survey by USA Today.
Economists previously thought the Fed would cut rates in early 2007. However, their tune is changing as recent data suggests the economy is faring better than was expected given the slowdown in housing.
The Fed has left interest rates unchanged since June 2006, after raising them 17 times over two years.
Most of the economists surveyed do not expect a change in interest rates until the fourth quarter, when they think a quarter-percentage-point cut is likely. But opinions vary.
For example, economists at The Conference Board and Bear Stearns predict rates will be higher at the end of the year than they are now.
Timothy Rogers, the chief economist for Briefing.com in South Natick, Mass., says it’s too close to call.
“It could go either way right now. Anyone who comes out and says he knows which way things are going is full of malarkey,” he says.

Consumer Confidence is High 2007- Can You Benefit?

Consumers are greeting the New Year with a lot more confidence than they’ve had in months, which could be good news for the housing market.

The RBC Cash Index, created by the international polling firm Ipsos, showed U.S. consumer confidence is up from 86.9 in December to 95.3 in January. That is the highest since February of 2006. This reading was at its highest in more than two years.

“A lot of the fears people had about the economy seem to be dissipating — fears about inflation and soaring gas prices. Fears about higher interest rates and the housing bust,” says Mark Vitner, an economist at Wachovia Corp.

Source: Associated Press, Jeannine Aversa (01/12/07)

 

What does this consumer confidence latest report mean? As more people feel confident about their job, the economy, inflation and costs of living, the housing market will see more people purchasing homes as they feel secure about where their housing values will go.

 

If it is your first time home purchase or a second home, focus on the long term, you will see increases in values to levels like we did from 1996 to 2003. Real estate goes in cycles. We can see an opportunity right now that may not be here in a few years or by the end of 2007. Don’t miss out on this opportunity that has not been seen since the early ‘90s. Think about this; about ten years ago you could purchase a 3 bed 2 bath home in Pleasanton for $250,000! Today, even will a ‘soft’ market it will cost you $500,000 to $600,000 more for that same home. We cannot make any more land, and the land we have is becoming more difficult to build on or is already developed. Our area will continue to increase in value as more people relocate to the East Bay. Dont miss out on the opportunity! Own Real Estate and retire with comfort!

What is the Housing Market Doing Now?

Take a look a the the graphs below. The first is Available homes on the market in our area and we see a decline in the number of home on the market for sale. Compare that to the second graph and we see an increase in the number of sold homes. We can take from this date that even though less homes are on the market more are selling in comparison to the number of homes on the market. Experts are predicting 2007 to be a strong year as we have written about in previous postings. This may be a start to a change in the housing market that experts have been predicting will come. Check beck for more data on the housing market.

Click graph for a larger image.

Available Homes

Click graph for a larger image.

Sold Homes

 

 

Pleasanton Market Update

If you look at the graph below closely you will see a change happening. The number of homes on the market at the end of a month is on the decline while the number of homes sold is on the climb. If you look at the number of sold homes in comparison to available we see an increase in demand and decrease of market time on homes. This may be premature or just a pattern of the holidays, but we believe 2007 will be the start of a great real estate market, we are just seeing the strart. Read our previous Blogs and see that many things are pointing to a strong 2007 for the housing market.

Click graph for a larger image.

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Mortgage Applications Rise as Buyers See Potential

“Demand for home loans jumped 3.6 percent during the week ending Dec. 29 following two straight weeks of decline, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. The group’s application index increased, even though interest rates moved higher for the fourth consecutive week. Refinancing applications increased 2.2 percent to 1640.4. Higher borrowing costs took some of the blame for the earlier falloff in loan requests, but the Christmas and New Year’s holidays also may have skewed those numbers.”

As we enter 2007 and exit the normally slower holiday slowdown many buyers are getting loans in place to capatolize on lower home prices. Many buyers who could not afford to purchase are now realizing the opportunity they have to purchase a home at prices not seen since early 2000.

Rate Cut Possible in Coming Months

Minutes of the Federal Reserve Board’s most recent meeting in December, which were released yesterday, suggest that policymakers’ concern over the housing slump kept them from raising the key short-term interest rate. One Fed member, who wasn’t identified in the minutes, wanted the public statement to include a suggestion of a potential rate cut, but his wording didn’t make the final version. The Fed is expected to let the benchmark rate stand at 5.25 percent at its next meeting at the end of this month, but many analysts predict a rate cut in the coming months.

  • The Moxley Team

    Moxley Team serves Pleasanton Home Buyers and Pleasanton Home Sellers. From Dublin Ranch Condos to Dublin Ranch Luxury Homes the Moxley Team of Alain Pinel in Pleasanton provides Home Buying Tools and Home Selling Tips. MoxleyTeam.com provides info from Pleasanton Home Sales to Dublin Ranch Developments, Dublin Ranch News and Foreclosures in Pleasanton and Short Sales in Dublin Ranch.

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